My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The projections expect Kyle Pitts to notch 5.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

With an excellent 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (81st percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts ranks among the leading pass-catching TEs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Atlanta Falcons.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

Kyle Pitts has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (62.0 per game).

Kyle Pitts's 34.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 44.8.

More Kyle Pitts Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™