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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

This week, Kyle Pitts is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.4 targets.

Kyle Pitts has posted a staggering 73.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Kyle Pitts has been among the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an exceptional 39.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Kyle Pitts's 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 49.3% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kyle Pitts's 51.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 63.1.

Kyle Pitts's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, compiling a measly 1.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.61 rate last season.

The Commanders defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 26.0) to tight ends this year.

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