Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Pitts

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Pitts

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Falcons this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
In this contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
After averaging 77.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has seen a big decrease this season, currently pacing 65.0 per game.
Kyle Pitts's 43.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 63.1.
Kyle Pitts's 2.84 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a material drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.6% rate.

More Kyle Pitts Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow