Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Pitts

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Pitts

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
Kyle Pitts has posted a monstrous 68.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among TEs.
Kyle Pitts's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 49.9.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
Kyle Pitts has posted significantly fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 62.0% to 50.6%.
Kyle Pitts's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 6.79 yards-per-target compared to a 8.66 mark last season.

More Kyle Pitts Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow