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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has posted a monstrous 68.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among TEs.
  • Kyle Pitts's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 49.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
  • Kyle Pitts has posted significantly fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 62.0% to 50.6%.
  • Kyle Pitts's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 6.79 yards-per-target compared to a 8.66 mark last season.

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