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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-365).

  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (23.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.9% in games he has played).
  • Kyle Pitts has put up significantly more air yards this year (82.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).
  • Kyle Pitts's 63.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 49.9.
  • The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 49.1%.
  • The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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