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Kyle Philips

Kyle Philips Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Kyle Philips Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Philips profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an exceptional 73.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71%) versus WRs this year (71.0%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Kyle Philips has played on 23.5% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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