Kyle Philips Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kyle Philips

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Philips

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Philips Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The Steelers defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
With a weak 15.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Philips rates as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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