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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Kyle Juszczyk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 88.4% to 67.0%.

The Seahawks pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.4%) versus RBs this year (73.4%).

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