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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 6.9.
  • The Buccaneers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 67.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.4% figure.

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