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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

Kyle Juszczyk has been used more as a potential target this year (49.7% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (38.0%).

After accumulating 4.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Juszczyk has shown good development this season, now boasting 16.0 per game.

The Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.4%) versus RBs since the start of last season (88.4%).

Since the start of last season, the porous Cardinals defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a monstrous 6.27 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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