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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In this game, Kyle Juszczyk is predicted by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets.
  • While Kyle Juszczyk has accounted for 4.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in San Francisco's passing offense in this week's contest at 10.0%.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has put up a whopping 7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • With a poor 4.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (12th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Juszczyk rates among the best running backs in the pass game in football in space.

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