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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

Kyle Juszczyk has accumulated a whopping 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Kyle Juszczyk ranks as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging a terrific 8.62 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 86th percentile.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (90.8%) versus running backs since the start of last season (90.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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