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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the 49ers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

Kyle Juszczyk has compiled a staggering 9.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

This year, the shaky Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a whopping 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Buffalo's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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