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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

As it relates to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the towering 100th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 10.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

The Seahawks pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 8.26 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 88.4% to 67.0%.

Kyle Juszczyk's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a mere 5.39 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.62 mark last year.

More Kyle Juszczyk Player Props

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