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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

When talking about air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the towering 100th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a massive 11.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

Kyle Juszczyk's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 6.9.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (45.0) vs. RBs this year.

This year, the poor Buccaneers defense has yielded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a staggering 8.29 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kyle Juszczyk's 67.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.4% figure.

Kyle Juszczyk's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 5.41 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.62 figure last season.

More Kyle Juszczyk Player Props

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