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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When talking about air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs last year, accruing a remarkable 5.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

Kyle Juszczyk comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging a remarkable 18.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Kyle Juszczyk rates as one of the most effective receivers in the league among running backs, averaging a stellar 9.75 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

The Jets defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (36.0) versus running backs last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

More Kyle Juszczyk Player Props

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