Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 2:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Juszczyk has put up a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Kyle Juszczyk's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 86.2% to 100.0%.
With a fantastic 9.1 adjusted yards per target (88th percentile) this year, Kyle Juszczyk stands as one of the best pass-game RBs in the NFL.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to call just 63.3 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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