Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Juszczyk has put up a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Kyle Juszczyk has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging a remarkable 8.89 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.5 per game) this year.

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