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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

When it comes to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs this year, accruing an astounding 5.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

Kyle Juszczyk's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 86.3% to 89.6%.

Kyle Juszczyk comes in as one of the most efficient receivers in football among RBs, averaging a remarkable 9.42 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 25.8 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers profiles as the worst in the league this year.

Kyle Juszczyk's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging just 4.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.00 rate last season.

More Kyle Juszczyk Player Props

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