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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has totaled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 86.2% to 92.0%.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 10.0 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material progression in his receiving skills over last year's 9.0 mark.
  • This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded a colossal 85.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.5 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.

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