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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has accrued a colossal 7.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, notching 11.02 yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.54 mark last year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (44.0) versus RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 16.5.

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