Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 76.3% to 86.0%.
Kyle Juszczyk's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, averaging 8.97 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.31 figure last season.
Kyle Juszczyk's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, totaling 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 3.62 rate last season.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Kyle Juszczyk has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (4.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
Kyle Juszczyk's 8.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 15.9.

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