Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 76.3% to 85.8%.
Kyle Juszczyk's receiving efficiency has improved this season, totaling 8.19 yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.31 rate last season.
Kyle Juszczyk's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 7.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.62 mark last season.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 27.07 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Kyle Juszczyk has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (4.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).

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