Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Juszczyk has put up a whopping 16.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among RBs.
Kyle Juszczyk's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 81st percentile for running backs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Kyle Juszczyk has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a terrific 7.22 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 80th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.74 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.