Kyle Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kyle Allen

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Allen

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Allen isn't afraid to run the ball himself, accounting for 4.7% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Cleveland Browns defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 5.36 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will be forced to use backup quarterback Kyle Allen this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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