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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects K.J. Osborn to notch 7.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • K.J. Osborn's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 69.8% to 58.6%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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