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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
  • K.J. Osborn has been used less as a potential target this season (94.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (81.2%).
  • The Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the highest Completion% in the league (71.4%) to WRs since the start of last season (71.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
  • K.J. Osborn's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.8% to 49.6%.

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