K.J. Osborn Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
The Vikings offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects K.J. Osborn to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game in this week's game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.2% in games he has played).
K.J. Osborn's 65.5% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last season's 69.8% mark.

More K.J. Osborn Props Data by WriteNow™

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