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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.

K.J. Osborn has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 76.1% of snaps compared to just 56.0% last year.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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