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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

K.J. Osborn's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.0% to 61.9%.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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