My Account Log Out
 
K.J. Osborn
NFL · Player Props
K.J. Osborn
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receptions
Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 25, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props K.J. Osborn Receptions

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

Favors Over
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Favors Under
  • K.J. Osborn has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 75.7% of snaps vs just 56.0% last year.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.0% to 62.1%.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.9%) to wideouts this year (61.9%).
  • The New England Patriots cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
More K.J. Osborn Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow