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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

K.J. Osborn has run a route on 87.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league (55.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in football.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

With a feeble 7.2 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, K.J. Osborn ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game in the league.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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