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K.J. Osborn
NFL · Player Props
K.J. Osborn
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receiving Yards
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM EST
NFL Props K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • The model projects the Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • K.J. Osborn has been used less as a potential target this season (92.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (81.2%).
Favors Under
  • K.J. Osborn's 65.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a noteable diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 69.8% rate.
  • This year, the strong Falcons defense has given up a meager 132.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the tough Falcons defense has conceded a mere 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-best rate in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.
More K.J. Osborn Props Data by WriteNow™
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