K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the projection model to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
In this game, K.J. Osborn is anticipated by the model to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.8 targets.
While K.J. Osborn has earned 13.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Minnesota's passing offense in this week's contest at 19.3%.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
The Vikings have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
K.J. Osborn's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 69.8% to 54.7%.
K.J. Osborn has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.01 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts

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