K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
K.J. Osborn has been among the least effective receivers in football, averaging a measly 7.02 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 12th percentile among wideouts
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) to WRs since the start of last season (61.2%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.