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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • K.J. Osborn's 91.8% Route Participation% this year illustrates a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 81.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • K.J. Osborn's 64.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 69.8% mark.
  • With a lackluster 7.1 adjusted yards per target (18th percentile) this year, K.J. Osborn rates among the bottom WRs in the game in the league.
  • This year, the imposing Lions pass defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 3.0 YAC.

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