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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
  • The Vikings offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn's ability to pick up extra yardage has gotten better this season, accumulating 5.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.65 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects K.J. Osborn to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game in this week's game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.2% in games he has played).
  • K.J. Osborn's 65.5% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last season's 69.8% mark.
  • K.J. Osborn checks in as one of the least efficient receivers in football, averaging just 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile among WRs

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