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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (172.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 9.58 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
  • K.J. Osborn has posted quite a few less air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).

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