K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
K.J. Osborn's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 75.2%.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
K.J. Osborn has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (47.0 per game).
K.J. Osborn has been among the bottom wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) vs. wideouts this year (62.7%).
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

More K.J. Osborn Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow