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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, yielding 8.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • K.J. Osborn has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 76.1% of snaps compared to just 56.0% last year.
  • K.J. Osborn has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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