K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, yielding 8.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
K.J. Osborn has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 76.1% of snaps compared to just 56.0% last year.
K.J. Osborn has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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