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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.01 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • K.J. Osborn has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

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