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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • K.J. Osborn has compiled far fewer air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn has posted quite a few less receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).
  • K.J. Osborn's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.0% to 61.9%.
  • K.J. Osborn's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 5.67 yards-per-target compared to a 8.35 mark last year.

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