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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • K.J. Osborn has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).
  • K.J. Osborn's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.0% to 61.6%.

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