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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+357/-705).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -605 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -705.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 6th-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
  • K.J. Osborn has posted quite a few less air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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