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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-540).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +308 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +303.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • K.J. Osborn's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 67.0% to 71.7%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • K.J. Osborn has notched far fewer air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 0.43 per game this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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