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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+424/-947).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -838 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -947.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

The Detroit Lions cornerbacks project as the worst group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Detroit Lions defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

K.J. Osborn has compiled far fewer air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (47.0 per game).

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

K.J. Osborn's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.0% to 61.9%.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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