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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+289/-494).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -439 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -494.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • K.J. Osborn ranks in the 88th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.41 per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 6th-most passing TDs in football to WRs: 1.12 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (58.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (58.6%).
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box against opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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