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K.J. Hamler

K.J. Hamler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
K.J. Hamler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • K.J. Hamler has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league this year, averaging just 14.0 yards per game while grading out in the 18th percentile among wideouts.
  • K.J. Hamler has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a measly 40.7% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 12th percentile among wideouts
  • K.J. Hamler has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a measly 5.99 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 21st percentile among wideouts
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).

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