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K.J. Hamler

K.J. Hamler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

K.J. Hamler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Denver Broncos O-line has given their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The New York Jets defense has allowed the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) versus WRs this year.

The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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