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K.J. Hamler
NFL · Player Props
K.J. Hamler
WR · Denver Broncos
Receiving TD
Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 12, 2022 11:06 PM EST
NFL Props K.J. Hamler Receiving TD

K.J. Hamler Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-456).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +284 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +270.

Favors Over
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects K.J. Hamler to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (13.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.9% in games he has played).
  • K.J. Hamler has garnered a colossal 22.6% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties project as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 2nd-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.59 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
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